Obama At 50% In Gallup Daily Tracking Poll. Where’s The Hoopla?
The minute the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll showed President Obama at 47%, detractors and news organizations couldn’t wait to highlight that this was the lowest any president has polled at this point in a presidency (even though Ronald Reagan’s 49% was statistically a tie). One day later, Obama is up 3 points, at 50%. These are three-day rolling averages, so Obama must have had a really good day, the very day the media was was talking non-stop about his “lowest numbers ever.”
These polls widely fluctuate because of the sample size and the vagaries of daily, ever-changing events. TPM underscores the folly of reading so much into the constant bumps up and down.
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