Nate Silver Says Republicans Favored to Win Senate

Via Political Wire:

Nate Silver: “We think the Republicans are now slight favorites to win at least six seats and capture the chamber… You’ll find that our characterization of the 36 races in most cases is very close to that issued by such forecasters as the Cook Political Report and Rothenberg Political Report. We’re looking at the same sort of information they are, and they have strong track records, so it’s natural there should be similarities.”

“One point of difference is that we’re much more pessimistic about the Democrats’ chances in West Virginia, South Dakota and Montana. These races have a lot in common, taking place in three red states where longtime Democratic incumbents have retired.”

Caveat: “The balance has shifted slightly toward the GOP. But it wouldn’t take much for it to revert to the Democrats, nor for this year to develop into a Republican rout along the lines of 2010.”

 

By: Alan

Alan Colmes is the publisher of Liberaland.