Nate Silver: Obama Has 80.9% Chance Of Victory

Posted by | November 2, 2012 12:33 | Filed under: Top Stories

Nate Silver shows that the likelihood of an Obama victory is increasing. He explains that ” the simplest analysis of the polls would argue that Mr. Obama is winning. He’s been ahead in the vast majority of polls in Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and all the other states where the Democrat normally wins. These states add up to more than 270 electoral votes. It isn’t complicated. To argue that Mr. Romney is ahead, or that the election is a “tossup,” requires that you disbelieve the polls, or that you engage in some complicated interpretation of them. The FiveThirtyEight model represents a complicated analysis of the polls, but simplicity is on its side, in this case.”

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Copyright 2012 Liberaland
By: Alan

Alan Colmes is the publisher of Liberaland.

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