Nate Silver: Chance Of Obama Win Is 73.1%
In electoral vote terms, it’s 294.1 to 243.9.
…Barack Obama maintains a narrow lead in the polling averages in states that would get him to 270 electoral votes. Mr. Obama also remains roughly tied in the polls in two other states, Colorado and Virginia, that could serve as second lines of defense for him if he were to lose a state like Ohio.
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