John Bolton Accuses NIE Of Relying Too Much On New Information
We wouldn’t want new information to cloud our already-held beliefs, would we?
…the NIE suffers from a common problem in government: the overvaluation of the most recent piece of data…the bias toward the new appears to have exerted a disproportionate effect on intelligence analysis.
We should be biased toward what? Old information? Yeah, that’s it. Let’s base policy on old information. That new stuff just bothers some people.
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